This is Trump’s worst poll number — and what it means

There is one poll question I keep coming back to when I think about President Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign. It’s the one in which pollsters ask whether people would “definitely not” vote for him.

This is an especially bad number for Trump. National polls generally show a majority of people (51-56 percent) say they wouldn’t (Fox News polls being the exception). And now a poll also shows that number is remarkably bad for Trump in a surprising place: Texas. The University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows that, when asked if they would vote to reelect Trump, 43 percent responded “definitely not”, and another 7 percent say “probably not.” That’s half the state intending not to vote for a Republican president — in Texas.

Those numbers are apparently starting to register in early 2020 general election polls — includingTrump’s own internal polls — which show Trump struggling to climb out of the low 40s in key states and sometimes trailing by double digits. He’s also running neck and neck with Joe Biden in Texas.

View the complete June 18 article by Aaron Blake on The Washington Post website here.