GDP Is Growing, but Workers’ Wages Aren’t

The following article by Michael Madowitz and Set Hanlon was posted on the Center for American Progress website July 26, 2018:

People exit a subway into a shopping mall on June 28, 2018, in New York City. Credit: Getty/Spencer Platt

President Donald Trump recently said that the U.S. economy is “stronger than ever before” and points to his tax plan as one of the major reasons why.1 But the fact is that workers are not getting ahead in the Trump economy. Official data released in recent weeks have shown that workers’ wages are flat or even slightly down, in real terms, over the last year.2 These data fly in the face of many tax plan boosters who have claimed that the bill’s passage has already been a boon to middle-class workers.

This Friday, the U.S. Department of Commerce will release its first estimate of the nation’s economic output in the second quarter of 2018. For a number of reasons, second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to be relatively strong. But one quarter’s GDP estimates hardly indicate that the economy is experiencing the sustained, broad-based growth that tax cut proponents promised would happen. Indeed, as the wage data show, the economy’s gains have not trickled down to regular workers. In fact, President Trump’s policies have only made it harder for them to get ahead.

Workers’ real wages have been entirely flat over the last year

GDP growth is the biggest-picture view of the economy; it’s important for macroeconomists who focus on long-term shifts in what the U.S. economy produces. GDP, however, is only one measure of economic progress, so its effectiveness at measuring workers’ well-being is limited. In the modern economy, benefits are shared unequally. As economic benefits have gone increasingly to those at the top, overall economic growth tells us less than it once did about how the living standards of all Americans are changing. To be sure, economic growth is an important goal, but it’s naïve to ignore the growing disconnect between changes in economic output and living standards for the vast majority of workers—especially when there are much more applicable measures of how workers are faring.

View the complete article here.

When Paul Ryan leaves government, the federal deficit will be $1.2 trillion higher than when he arrived

The following article of Philip Bump was posted on the Washington Post website July 25, 2018:

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) made a name for himself as a deficit hawk, but backed a tax plan and a spending bill that are ballooning the national debt. (Video: Jenny Starrs/Photo: Matt McClain/The Washington Post)

One fun thing about the Nexis online news archive at Nexis is that you can search for how many times certain people have been described in certain ways in news reports. For example, one can learn that, since June 2008, Paul Ryan has been called a “deficit hawk” more than 400 times in English-language news reports. The first included in the index is an article from Roll Call titled, “Ryan Campaigns for Fiscal Fitness” — sadly written before Time magazine snapped some of the most iconic imagesof any legislator in history.

The House speaker is a deficit hawk, you see, because of his long-standing crusade for lower federal budget deficits. It has been the cause with which the Wisconsin Republican has been associated for most of his career since getting to Capitol Hill in 1999 — cutting spending and bringing the budget under control.

However, Bloomberg’s Steven Dennis made an interesting observation about Ryan’s tenure on Twitter.

View the complete article here.

How the Trump Tax Cut Is Helping to Push the Federal Deficit to $1 Trillion

The following article by Jim Tankersley was posted on the New York Times website July 25, 2018:

The amount of corporate taxes collected by the federal government has plunged to historically low levels in the first six months of the year, pushing up the federal budget deficit much faster than economists had predicted.

The reason is President Trump’s tax cuts. The law introduced a standard corporate rate of 21 percent, down from a high of 35 percent, and allowed companies to immediately deduct many new investments. As companies operate with lower taxes and a greater ability to reduce what they owe, the federal government is receiving far less than it would have before the overhaul.

 

The Trump administration had said that the tax cuts would pay for themselves by generating increased revenue from faster economic growth, but the White House has acknowledged in recent weeks that the deficit is growing faster than it had expected. The Office of Management and Budget said this month that it had revised its forecasts from earlier this year to account for nearly $1 trillion of additional debt over the next decade — on average, almost $100 billion more a year in deficits.

View the complete post here.

11 Ways the Wealthy and Corporations Will Game the New Tax Law

The following article by Alexandra Thornton was posted on the Center for American Progress website July 25, 2018:

Introduction and summary

At the end of 2017, congressional Republicans drafted a new tax bill and rushed it to President Donald Trump for signature in just seven weeks. No congressional Democrats were permitted in the drafting sessions, and no hearings were held after the draft legislation was released.1 As a result, no other members of Congress and no members of the public whom the bill’s sweeping provisions would affect had adequate opportunity to review the proposed changes and identify potential problems—much less offer suggestions for how to improve the bill. To the surprise of no one in Washington, the final law that emerged from this secret and partisan process overwhelmingly benefits the wealthy and large corporations. The Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) and the Tax Policy Center—both nonpartisan organizations—have confirmed this fact.2

Provisions of the new tax law, informally known as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), that directly benefit the wealthy and corporations include: lowering the top individual income tax rate to 37 percent; weakening the individual alternative minimum tax, which originally was designed to ensure that the wealthy pay a minimum amount of tax; gutting the estate tax; allowing a giveaway to wealthy pass-through business owners; and slashing the statutory corporate tax rate.

View the complete article here.

 

Republicans Go For Broke on Tax Cut Message With 2.0 Effort

The following article by Lindsey McPherson was posted n the Roll Call website July 24, 2018:

Making individual tax cuts permanent is centerpiece of developing 3-bill package

House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady, R-Texas, briefed House Republicans Tuesday on his panel’s developing “Tax Reform 2.0” plan. Credit: Tom Williams, CQ Roll Call fie photo

House Republicans have made clear that the tax overhaul bill their party passed last year is their primary selling point to voters on why they should keep them in the majority come November.

Now they’re doubling down on the tax cut message as they prepare a three-bill package they’re calling “Tax Reform 2.0.”

The Ways and Means Committee on Tuesday released a two-page outline of the 2.0 plan, which they plan to introduce as legislation after the House returns from its late summer recess in September. The goal is for floor votes on the three bills this fall before the House adjourns again for the midterm elections.

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GOP lied about their tax scam, and now American wages are falling

The following article by Dan Desai Martin was posted on the ShareBlue.com website July 23, 2018:

Trump and his GOP promised their tax scam would help middle-class workers, but wages are actually down and the only ones benefitting are the ultra-rich.

Pablo Martinez Monsivais, AP Photos

Republicans sold their tax scam as a way to help the middle class, but seven months after Trump signed the bill into law, Americans have seen months of declining wages. In reality, the tax scam is a $2 trillion, deficit-financed boondoggle to benefit wealthy Wall Street corporations while workers languish.

Trump vowed the tax scam would be “rocket fuel” for the economy. Congressional Republicans made over-the-top promises about higher wages and a booming economy.

But that hasn’t happened. The tax scam has not led to higher wages. Instead, as finance expert Noah Smith explains in Bloomberg, “Real average hourly compensation actually fell in the first quarter” after the tax scam was passed.

View the complete article here.

CEOs Get Massive Payouts As Workers Shoulder Larger Share Of Federal Tax Burden

CEOs are some of the biggest winners from the Trump tax law, not workers. Corporations received massive new tax cuts, which CEOs have used to further enrich themselves. Meanwhile, workers’ wages have not increased and workers are having to  shoulder a rising share of the federal tax burden.

CEOs have used the Trump tax law to further enrich themselves with “eye-popping” payouts. Meanwhile, workers aren’t benefiting.

Politico: “‘Eye-popping’ payouts for CEOs follow Trump’s tax cuts”

Politico: “Some of the biggest winners from President Donald Trump’s new tax law are corporate executives who have reaped gains as their companies buy back a record amount of stock, a practice that rewards shareholders by boosting the value of existing shares.” Continue reading “CEOs Get Massive Payouts As Workers Shoulder Larger Share Of Federal Tax Burden”

Trump And Republicans Help CEOs & Leave Everyone Else Behind

The Trump and Republican economic agenda has increased the gap between CEOs and everyone else. CEO have benefitted with tens of billions of dollars, while workers’ wages have not increased. See for yourself:

CEOs of the U.S.’s biggest corporations took home $10 billion last year.

Axios: “The CEOs running S&P 500 companies cumulatively took home $10 billion in 2017, an amount that is 44% higher than what is usually reported, according to an Axios analysis of Securities and Exchange Commission filings.” Continue reading “Trump And Republicans Help CEOs & Leave Everyone Else Behind”

Trump, House GOP Talk More Tax Cuts

NOTE:  Rep. Erik Paulsen is a member of this committee. The tax cut bill last year that gave the majority of benefits to the top 1% of people and cut corporate taxes massively has done major damage to the national debt. Here’s an article detailing this from Forbes.

The following article by Fred Lucas was posted on the Daily Signal website July 17, 2018:

President Trump meets with members of Congress, including Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee Kevin Brady of Texas, Credit: Newscom

Following up on the economic growth spurred by their first tax reform package, President Donald Trump and House Republicans want to see another round.

“We are going to start a meeting on tax reduction, and we are going to be putting in a bill,” Trump said Tuesday in the Cabinet Room of the White House, just before a meeting with House Republicans.

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady, R-Texas, talked about making the individual income tax cuts permanent.

View the complete article here.

Paychecks Lag as Profits Soar, and Prices Erode Wage Gains

The following article by Patricia Cohen was posted on the New York Times website July 13, 2018:

Job seekers at a career fair in Los Angeles on March 8. Employers complain of labor shortages, but many are reluctant to pay higher wages. Credit: Patrick T. Fallon, Bloomberg

Corporate profits have rarely swept up a bigger share of the nation’s wealth, and workers have rarely shared a smaller one.

The lopsided split is especially pronounced given how low the official unemployment rate has sunk. Throughout the recession and much of its aftermath, when many Americans were grateful to receive a paycheck instead of a pink slip, jobs and raises were in short supply. Now, complaints of labor shortages are as common as tweets. For the first time in a long while, workers have some leverage to push for more.

Yet many are far from making up all the lost ground. Hourly earnings have moved forward at a crawl, with higher prices giving workers less buying power than they had last summer. Last-minute scheduling, no-poachingand noncompete clauses, and the use of independent contractors are popular tactics that put workers at a disadvantage. Threats to move operations overseas, where labor is cheaper, continue to loom.

View the complete article on the New York Times website here.