24 House Ratings Change in Favor of Democrats, One Month Out

 

Roll Call elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales has two dozen House race ratings shifts — and they’re all positive for Democrats. Nearly one month from Election Day, Gonzales discusses how it’s more a question of Democratic prospects being good or great in the House than anything else. See below for a full list of all the ratings shifts and watch the video for more analysis. 

  • California’s 10th District from Tilt Republican to Toss-up
  • California’s 25th from Tilt R to Toss-up
  • California’s 45th from Lean R to Toss-up
  • California’s 48th from Toss-up to Tilt Democrat
  • California’s 49th from Tilt D to Lean D
  • Colorado’s 6th from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • Illinois’s 6th from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • Iowa’s 1st from Tilt D to Lean D
  • Kansas’s 2nd from Tilt R to Toss-up
  • Kansas’s 3rd from Toss-up To Tilt D
  • Maine’s 2nd from Tilt R to Toss-up
  • Michigan’s 8th from Tilt R to Toss-up
  • Minnesota’s 2nd from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • Minnesota’s 3rd from Tilt R to Tilt D
  • North Carolina’s 2nd from Lean R to Tilt R
  • North Carolina’s 13th from Lean R to Tilt R
  • New Jersey’s 3rd District from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • New York’s 19th from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • New York’s 22nd from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • Pennsylvania’s 1st from Tilt R to Toss-up
  • Pennsylvania’s 7th from Tilt D to Lean D
  • Pennsylvania’s 10th from Likely R to Lean R
  • Virginia’s 2nd from Lean R to Tilt R
  • Virginia’s 7th from Tilt R to Toss-up

View the October 4 article by Thomas McKinless on the Roll Call website here.